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i come out of horseracing and i am used to databases with 100,000 lines of data. to bet foots off of 1000 lines scares me
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even though trends can be useful ammunition in a handicapper’s arsenal, most of the time it can do more damage than good. national title game, ohio state vs. miami. you do the research and see that the hurricanes are 6-1 ats in non-conference road games...
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i can't wait until we turn air judden into a capping machine, and get turn him loose on big xii historical data and trends
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peep i agree with you in the fact that i would not play one trend you listed. first, the trends you listed are all team specific trends. the trends i have been back testing are general trends, from multiple games with different teams. second, all of the...
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| | Re: Would you wager on college football trends... |
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comp the trends i tested were from the winpicks software trend engine. here is an example: any team, after losing 4 game(s), versus any opponent, as away, line 10 -> 13.5, 11-36-1 ats. the software displays trends with at least two standard errors of...
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when i back test a trend/system i usually use 55% over 1000 games as a standard. maybe i'll go back a few more years if time permits
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even if the record is unbiased by hindsight or any form of selection bias, the 266 wins are only 8 more than the minimum 258 you'd need (at -110 odds) just to get into the black. in a 492-game sample, that's not very convincing
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